Monday, February 2, 2015

Bend-Central Oregon - $1 million plus sales a small part of market



            Bend-Central Oregon is experiencing more sales in the higher end housing market of $1,000,000 or more across the region. But the area is not even close to other locales with similarly strong appeal for buyers in the recreation and retirement segment.
            The comparison often arises to such enclaves as Jackson Hole and Sun Valley, and even Aspen, where in the latter case condominiums have sold for an average of nearly $1,200 a square foot, according to recent reports. The simple math--$1.2 million for a 1,000 square foot condo.
            In 2014 there were 54 sales at prices above $1,000,000 of single family homes on all lot and land sizes recorded with the MLS of Central Oregon, and a single townhome on the Deschutes River near the Old Mill District.
            The sales were a minuscule 1.20% of the total 4,507  sales in all seven Central Oregon sub-markets and 1.75% of the 2,511 sales in Bend and nearby outlying areas. However, the $1 million and above sales represented an increase of approximately 29% in all areas and a nearly identical jump in Bend itself over 2013.
            A look at the Aspen market provides a quick study of just how distant the Bend-Central Oregon market is from much tonier areas of the country.
            A late December report in the Aspen Business Journal noted that  2014 prices had risen in all price categories, “with a major spike in activity in Aspen home sales above $7.5M.”
            But the $1 million to $2 million category fell 42%, “because so little home inventory is for sale at this price point,” the business journal reported.
            Although there were only 453 total sales at all prices in Aspen and Snowmass Village in 2014, just 10% of Bend-Central Oregon sales, the Aspen volume of $1.282 billion was only slightly less than the $1.418 billion logged on the MLSCO database.
            A report from Jackson Hole through the third quarter of 2014 shows there were 73 sales of more than $2 million, 11 of those at $5 million and 5 at more than $10 million.
            The report by brokers at Re/Max Obsidian said the $2 million plus unit sales were only 14% of the market but the dollar volume was 52% of all sales.
            To put the high-end market in perspective with Bend-Central Oregon, the Jackson Hole Luxury Report  by broker David Viehman defines the luxury category as $3 million or greater. By contrast, Bend-Central Oregon had only a single non-farm/ranch sale of more than $2 million in 2014 and 2  in 2013.
            Breaking down the Bend-Central Oregon sales by area, 44 were in the Bend-Tumalo-Alfalfa sub-market and another 10 spread across the other 6 sub-markets tracked in the MLS.
            Of the 54 total, 10 were in Bend’s Broken Top golf community, 6 in Awbrey Butte and North Rim on Awbrey Butte, and 2 each in Deschutes River Ranch, Pronghorn, River Glen,  Pinelyn Park, Tetherow, Shevlin Commons and Vandevert Ranch. (link below to overall market report)