Friday, January 22, 2016

2015 Central Oregon real estate by price segments-Luxury in good supply, tight in lower-mid ranges



            For a buyer seeking a high-end single family home on the market at more than $1 million in Bend there are ample choices.
            But if something  “affordable” from $200,000 to $400,000 is more budget friendly to a buyer, then supply is thinner and the competition stiffer.
            For all of 2015 there were 59 sales of single family homes in the greater Bend MLS area, including Tumalo to the west and Alfalfa to the east, on all lot sizes-- with a top sale at $2,150,00 and median sale price of $1,225,000. The “luxury” homes were on the market for a median of 105 days.
            A 12-month average of 6.66 homes were sold at more than $1 million in 2015. As of mid-January 2016 there were 80 listings in that price range, or a 12 month inventory.
            Generally that hefty  inventory would signal a buyers market. However, in that upper price segment  buyers can be more picky than in the lower tier, with some opting to buy a lot and build to their specific criteria.
            On the lower end of the spectrum there were 1,747 sales in a range of $200,000 to $400,000 last year, at a median of $291,180 in that price segment.
Those homes were on the market a median of 80 days.
            And by mid-January there was a scant 1.25 months supply in the lower price range, an unequivocal signal of a robust sellers market that often results in competitive bidding among buyers.

            Some other key points in the 2015 numbers:
  • More than 75% of all Bend single family homes sold--on all lot sizes-- in 2015 were in the $200,000 to $499,000 price range.
  • There was a significant rise of 44% to 535 Bend homes sold in the $500,000 to $1,000,000 range from 2014 to 2015.
  • There were only two sales of more than $2,000,000 in Bend, although that doubled the one sale in 2014 in that range. Altogether million plus sales in Bend are only  2.12% of all homes sold.
  • Total Bend sales volume topped $1 billion for the first time since 2006, an increase of 22.45% to $1,129,639,100 in 2015 from $915,202,284 in 2014.
  • At $340,000 the 2015 price of a median family Bend home on all lot sizes has climbed to within $25,000 of the $365,000 median price at the market peak for 2006.
  • Short sales and foreclosures in Bend have dropped to only 4.57% of all sales, a continued decline from a peak in 2009 when more than 57% of sales were distressed properties and the period of 2008 through 2011 when that segment topped 50% of all sales. 

Previous post for all Central Oregon sales

A Groundhog Day market - more of the same for 2015 Central Oregon real estate


Source: MLS of Central Oregon

Source: MLS of Central Oregon

Thursday, January 21, 2016

A Groundhog Day market - more of the same for 2015 Central Oregon real estate



            Maybe Punxsutawney Phil might be the one to recap the year in Central Oregon real estate.
            In short it might be best described as a Groundhog Day market- more of the same in terms of rising prices and number of sales, with continued tight inventory.

            At year end the inventory of single family homes on less than an acre throughout the region ranged from a low of only 1.69 months supply in Redmond to 4.50 months in  Jefferson County. At 2.03 months inventory Bend was close behind Redmond on the availability chart.
            The inventory numbers are computed by averaging the past 12 month sales and dividing the current total of MLS listed homes by the average.
            Moreover the inventory has continued to shrink from yearend 2014 numbers. A balanced buyer-seller market is generally considered in the 5-6 months range.
            The largest median price gain was in Sisters, with an increase of 23% to $330,000. Redmond rose to $223,266, a 14% increase, and Bend to $327,478, up 13%.
            Unit sales of homes on less than an acre jumped by 40% in Sunriver had the largest jump in unit sales, by 40% and also recorded the highest median price at $375,000. Redmond unit sales rose by 15% in Redmond and 9% in Bend.

2015 Central Oregon home sales