Thursday, January 10, 2013

“Nothing normal” in Washington’s largest real estate market

            Record-breaking rain at year-end 2012 apparently did not dampen home buying activity recorded by the Northwest’s largest real state multiple listing service according to new statistics.
            Buying activity in the NWMLS, which covers 21 counties of Washington, rose 1.5% over December of 2011 to 5,314 pending sales. Perhaps of more interest the pending volume oustripped the 3,856 new listings by a wide margin.
            It was the fourth consecutive month that pending sales topped new listings. Total sales in 2012 of 64,624 homes rose by 14.8% over 2011
            J. Lennox Scott, chairman and CEO, of John L. Scott Real Estate observed, “There is nothing normal about the combination of factors fueling the current market.”
            Among trends and factors NWMLS member brokers note:

  • A housing rebound will continue but sellers should avoid over-pricing properties in order to sustain “controlled natural growth.”
  • Rising rents and investor activity will continue to influence the market—along with low unemployment and record-low interest rates.
  • Many individual owner-occupant buyers will avoid short sales and foreclosures given the complications, leaving space for investors.
  • Prices are rising along with multiple offers on listings, likely the result of shrinking inventory.

In King County (Seattle), the NWML largest market, median prices for single family homes, townhomes and condos rose 17.5% to $342,000 over 2011. Inventory declined by 33.5% at year-end, leaving a scant 3.3 months supply of available homes compared with 5 months in 2011.
     Throughout the 21-county area served by NWMLS the number of homes that sold for more than $1 million rose nearly 56% from 68 in December of 2011 to 106 in the same month of 2012.
           
Statistical Summary by Counties: Market Activity Summary – December 2012
Single
Family
Homes
+ Condos
LISTINGS
PENDING
SALES
CLOSED SALES
New
Listings
Total
Active
# Pending
Sales
#
Closings
Avg.
Price
Median
Price
King
1,378
3,801
2,056
2,188
$425,210
$342,000
Snohomish
581
1,513
872
892
$279,231
$254,975
Pierce
701
2,734
986
808
$232,956
$200,563
Kitsap
170
1,183
267
226
$261,724
$219,975
Mason
60
590
52
59
$174,834
$145,000
Skagit
86
609
97
105
$257,427
$209,000
Grays Harbor
77
644
50
72
$139,675
$132,568
Lewis
56
549
58
50
$169,263
$162,500
Cowlitz
53
401
87
69
$159,092
$139,000
Grant
40
431
37
50
$161,897
$147,500
Thurston
187
988
248
223
$220,379
$203,000
San Juan
13
270
15
17
$565,059
$300,000
Island
61
573
83
76
$312,249
$257,500
Kittitas
33
346
35
37
$350,882
$220,000
Jefferson
29
340
33
37
$353,950
$252,000
Okanogan
23
335
16
15
$162,260
$145,000
Whatcom
160
1,059
164
197
$278,378
$255,000
Clark
22
176
47
36
$234,957
$179,550
Pacific
27
298
21
20
$133,061
$125,750
Ferry
1
75
2
4
$131,216
$147,950
Clallam
44
314
47
42
$200,033
$173,400
Others
55
489
41
44
$219,863
$155,000
MLS TOTAL
3,857
17,718
5,314
5,267
$322,252
$255,000

4-County Puget Sound Region Pending Sales (SFH + Condo combined)
(Totals include King, Snohomish, Pierce & Kitsap counties)

Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
2000
3706
4778
5903
5116
5490
5079
4928
5432
4569
4675
4126
3166
2001
4334
5056
5722
5399
5631
5568
5434
5544
4040
4387
4155
3430
2002
4293
4735
5569
5436
6131
5212
5525
6215
5394
5777
4966
4153
2003
4746
5290
6889
6837
7148
7202
7673
7135
6698
6552
4904
4454
2004
4521
6284
8073
7910
7888
8186
7583
7464
6984
6761
6228
5195
2005
5426
6833
8801
8420
8610
8896
8207
8784
7561
7157
6188
4837
2006
5275
6032
8174
7651
8411
8094
7121
7692
6216
6403
5292
4346
2007
4869
6239
7192
6974
7311
6876
6371
5580
4153
4447
3896
2975
2008
3291
4167
4520
4624
4526
4765
4580
4584
4445
3346
2841
2432
2009
3250
3407
4262
5372
5498
5963
5551
5764
5825
5702
3829
3440
2010
4381
5211
6821
7368
4058
4239
4306
4520
4350
4376
3938
3474
2011
4272
4767
6049
5732
5963
5868
5657
5944
5299
5384
4814
4197
2012
4921
6069
7386
7015
7295
6733
6489
6341
5871
6453
5188
4181

 
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